Research and News

Trade war is officially over as US and China signed the Phase.1 deal in the middle of January. Trump is desperately willing to support financial markets in election year especially as he faces an impeachment process. Overall risk conditions switched to t...

01 2020, Arbat Capital

commodity;

Alcoa is CONTRARIAN BUY at $15-16 Trade war is officially over as US and China signed the Phase.1 deal in the middle of January. Overall risk conditions switched to the high Greed mode not seen since the late 2017 with commodities have been finally pla...

01 2020, Arbat Capital

commodity;

US banks outperformed the broad market in December (as of December 24), the fourth consecutive month of outperformance after very weak dynamics in August. Thus, BKX index increased by 3.2% MoM vs +2.6% of SPX index. Absolute December performance on MoM b...

01 August 2020, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

December 2019 crude oil prices continued to rise on greater optimism about theoutlook for oil market fundamentals, after OPEC and non-OPEC participating countriesdecided to proceed with an additional production adjustment in order to help balance theglob...

01 July 2020, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

US banks markedly outperformed the broad market in November, the third consecutive month of outperformance after very weak dynamics in August. Thus, BKX index increased by 5.7% MoM in November vs +3.4% of SPX index. Absolute November performance on MoM b...

12 August 2019, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

Crude oil prices rebounded in November 2019 to settle at their highest level since last July, on a monthly basis, mainly driven by optimism and positive expectations for a trade agreement between the US and China, as well as an improved outlook for globa...

12 July 2019, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

Trade war risk has transformed into the source of positive news for the markets as Trump is desperately willing to support stocks in election year especially as he faces an impeachment process. On the other hand ultra dovish expectations from the global ...

11 November 2019, Arbat Capital

commodity;

US banks outperformed the broad market in October for the second consecutive month after very weak dynamics in August. Thus, BKX index increased by 3.8% MoM in October vs +2.0% of SPX index. Absolute October performance on MoM basis was +0.5 std from the...

11 August 2019, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

Crude oil prices averaged lower in October 2019 on both sides of the Atlantic as market participants shifted their focus from concerns about supply disruptions that had pushed oil prices considerably higher in September to worries related to the risks an...

11 July 2019, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity